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Covid-19 Data Science
Finding the signal in the noise of Covid-19
Reporting and balanced evaluation of research results, data sets, applications and models, and commentaries related to Covid-19 and its underlying virus, SARS-Cov-2

Interim Analysis of WHO SOLIDARITY study bad news for Remdesivir and other treatments
The WHO has published a medRxiv report of an interim analysis of their SOLIDARITY study, a large international randomized study comparing...

Large contact tracing study in India confirms many aspects of COVID-19 spread and risk
A paper was just published yesterday in Science presenting results from a contact tracing study in two states in southern India that...

Prevent Epidemics: great resources for reliable updates on scientific findings in pandemic
Prevent Epidemics has a Weekly Science Review that provides brief summary and discussion of major peer-reviewed scientific articles on...

How will mutations in the SARS-CoV-2 virus affect the pandemic and our vaccine efforts?
Nature just published an informative review article discussing mutations and mutation rate in SARS-CoV-2, with special discussion of a...

Review of Mayo Clinic study cited in FDA emergency use approval of convalescent plasma
This week the FDA gave emergency approval for the use of convalescent plasma to treat COVID-19, making the strategy broadly available to...

Projecting county-level COVID-19 levels, and targeted mitigation to keep COVID-19 manageable
Several times I have mentioned the PolicyLab COVID-19 modeling efforts in which I have been privileged to be a part, and that I believe...

How can USA schools open safely w/ community virus levels 20-500x the other countries that opened?
This post is following up on my previous post on how difficult the school opening decision is. A lot of people have been mentioning to...

Update on Surging States -- looking at state-wise trends in daily cases and deaths
Let's look at an update of what we are seeing in surging states using our updated COVID-TRACKING app. Here I plot 7-day moving average...

This Surge is Spreading ...
We have updated our covid tracking plotting app to allow daily/smoothed/per capita plots. Here is the 7-day moving average for new...

July 1st Impressions: is the southern and western COVID-19 surge spreading?
The PolicyLab group has put out a new blog post discussing projections for July in the 519 counties included in the model. I encourage...

Why aren't we seeing more deaths with the recent COVID-19 surge?
The past few weeks have seen an alarming surge of incidence of SARS-CoV-2 in Arizona, Texas, Florida, and South Carolina, with upticks...

What is Test Positivity Rate, why is it important, and what can we learn from it?
As states have reopened, the media has watched carefully for evidence of a "surge". Some naive analyses look only at cases/day, which...

Another Paper Rigorously Demonstrating the Benefit of Masks and Basic Social Distancing
The Lancet just published a paper presenting a meta-analysis to quantify the mitigative effect of mask wearing and social distancing in...

Second Surge After Re-opening? A Detailed State-by-State Analysis
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, nearly every state in the United States instituted lockdowns of some sort -- most with stay-at-home...

Promising targeted antibody discovered for SARS-CoV-2 may prevent or treat COVID-19!
A paper was just published in Cell, a top biological journal, presenting results from a study that has identified a targeted antibody...

Promising results for drug targeting cytokine storm for hospitalized COVID-19 patients!
A newly published paper in Lancet Rheumatology presents results from a study assessing the effect of Anakinra, a recombinant IL-1...

Can't we even trust top journals? Evaluating and processing information in "Wartime Science"
This covid pandemic has brought the whole world to its knees, and stimulated an unprecedented level of focus and urgency to quickly...

Interesting insights into how SARS-CoV-2 virus manipulates immune system
STAT has an article discussing some emerging details of unique ways that the SARS-CoV-2 virus interacts with the immune system and...

Children unlikely to be main drivers of COVID-19 pandemic -- systematic review.
An article just published in Acta Paediatric presents results from a literature review to assess whether it is likely that children are...



























