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Covid-19 Data Science
Finding the signal in the noise of Covid-19
Reporting and balanced evaluation of research results, data sets, applications and models, and commentaries related to Covid-19 and its underlying virus, SARS-Cov-2

Ivor Cummins: Evaluating some European unconventional doubter/denier viewpoints
This video by Ivor Cummins describes some of his unconventional viewpoints. He supports the position that mandatory lockdowns were not...

Separation of Science and State?
I see too many recent reports suggesting attempts at political influence over the scientific messaging coming from the CDC, FDA, and NIH...

More thoughts the key role of antigen tests in community viral management and school openings
A NY Times article published today talks about some seldom-discussed limitations of current PCR testing and highlights some of the...

What counties in the USA are testing, and which are not?
From the PolicyLab testing data from HHS, below is a plot of SARS-CoV-2 testing rate of each county per 100k residents, with hotter...

Review of Mayo Clinic study cited in FDA emergency use approval of convalescent plasma
This week the FDA gave emergency approval for the use of convalescent plasma to treat COVID-19, making the strategy broadly available to...

New PolicyLab Dashboard to Track Numbers for School Openings
The PolicyLab team of collaborators at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia and University of Pennsylvania has assembled a new data...

Fast Antigen Tests: the key to containment and safe school reopenings?
School openings will bring hundreds to thousands of individuals together for long periods of time from communities with substantial...

Projecting county-level COVID-19 levels, and targeted mitigation to keep COVID-19 manageable
Several times I have mentioned the PolicyLab COVID-19 modeling efforts in which I have been privileged to be a part, and that I believe...

Asymptomatic infected may be just as contagious as those with symptoms
A paper published in JAMA Internal Medicine gives us insights into why it is so hard to keep the spread of this virus under control:...

How can USA schools open safely w/ community virus levels 20-500x the other countries that opened?
This post is following up on my previous post on how difficult the school opening decision is. A lot of people have been mentioning to...

Using Data Science to Better Understand COVID-19
I was interviewed by Dr. Steven Wexner, MD, for the American College of Surgeons as part of their "From the Frontlines" interview series....

Reopening Schools? The trickiest balance between denial and alarmism, and Israel's experience.
This article describes Israels' experience with the pandemic, in which sudden and apparently careless opening of schools seems to have...

Racial disparities in COVID-19 infections in Philadelphia
Our serology (antibody test) working group at Penn has completed some research studying the seropositivity of pregnant women in the...

Denial, alarmism and the COVID-19 crisis
One theme I've seen play out during this pandemic is that the political divisions and culture wars that have increasingly characterized...

Update on Surging States -- looking at state-wise trends in daily cases and deaths
Let's look at an update of what we are seeing in surging states using our updated COVID-TRACKING app. Here I plot 7-day moving average...

Neat tool for assessing risk of coming in contact with SARS-CoV-2 infected person by county
Researchers at Georgia Tech have put together a nice web app that computes the probability of encountering a SARS-CoV-2 positive person...

Aerosol Spread and Ventilation: Could we be missing a key factor driving the spread?
What is driving this new viral surge? At the end of May, the virus seemed relatively under control in the USA, with most places seeing...

Brief comment on football, school, and getting this surge under control
The SEC commissioner said "we are running out of time" to get the virus under control if there is going to be a college football season....

This Surge is Spreading ...
We have updated our covid tracking plotting app to allow daily/smoothed/per capita plots. Here is the 7-day moving average for new...



























